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Comparison of temperature indices for three IPCC SRES scenarios based on RegCM simulations for Poland in 2011–2030 period

dc.contributor.authorJaczewski, Adam
dc.contributor.authorBrzoska, Barbara
dc.contributor.authorWibig, Joanna
dc.date.accessioned2015-06-23T10:53:16Z
dc.date.available2015-06-23T10:53:16Z
dc.date.issued2015-03-13
dc.identifier.issn1610-1227
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11089/10062
dc.description.abstractThe regional climate model RegCM3 is used to investigate potential future changes of temperature indices in Poland for the period 2011–2030. The model is forced by ECHAM5/MPI-OM GCM data from World Data Centre (WDCC) database for the 1971–1990 reference period and 2011–2030 projection period under SRES B1, A1B and A2 emission scenarios. Model output statistics methods are used to transform simulated minimum and maximum temperature data into realistic data. Selected indices of temperature extremes and their differences between the scenario simulations and the reference were calculated, for all scenarios, for the entire period and for each season. Results show a mean yearly increase in the number of summer and hot days and a decrease in the number of frost and ice days. Highest decline in the number of frost and ice days in autumn and an increase in spring is noticed. An highest increase in the number of summer and hot days is seen in summer. Future projections of these indices are relevant for studies on climate change impact in agriculture, tourism, health, transportation, road and building infrastructure.pl_PL
dc.description.sponsorshipThis work was carried out as part of the project KLIMAT "Impact of climate change on the society, the environment and the economy (changes, effects and ways of limiting them, conclusions for science and engineering practice and economic planning)". No POIG.01.03.01- 14-011/08 in frames of the Operational Programme Innovative Economy, co-financed by the European Regional Development Fund. Authors thank anonymous reviewers for valuable comments.pl_PL
dc.language.isoenpl_PL
dc.publisherGebrüder Borntraeger Science Publisherspl_PL
dc.relation.ispartofseriesMeteorologische Zeitschrift;Vol. 24, No. 1
dc.rightsUznanie autorstwa 3.0 Polska*
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/pl/*
dc.subjectRegCMpl_PL
dc.subjecttemperature indicespl_PL
dc.subjectclimate modelingpl_PL
dc.subjectPolandpl_PL
dc.subjectSRESpl_PL
dc.titleComparison of temperature indices for three IPCC SRES scenarios based on RegCM simulations for Poland in 2011–2030 periodpl_PL
dc.typeArticlepl_PL
dc.page.number99–106pl_PL
dc.contributor.authorAffiliationJaczewski Adam, Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, Department of Climate Modelling and Seasonal Forecastingpl_PL
dc.contributor.authorAffiliationBrzoska Barbara, University of Lodz, Faculty of Geographical Sciences, Department of Meteorology and Climatologypl_PL
dc.contributor.authorAffiliationWibig Joanna, Institute of Meteorology and Water Management, Department of Climate Modelling and Seasonal Forecastingpl_PL
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