Model symulacyjny wpływu zmian kursu walutowego na ceny krajowe

Abstract

Currency exchange rates are basic parameter regulating foreign trade operations. Changes in them exert an influence on the level of domestic prices. A currency devaluation may lead to an intensification of inflationary trends. In practice, however, the studies on interrelationships between exchange rates, prices, and production costs were very seldom conducted. In order to grasp these interrelationships quantitatively there was built a simulation model, which can be reduced to a group of linear equations. „ The model Includes direct and Indirect effects of a currency devaluation. It is based on statistical data to be found In the balances of inter-industry relations published by the Central Statistical Office. The computations were made in two variants, i.e. there were accepted a constant accumulation or an accumulations growing proportionally to changes in costs of production.