Perspektywy demograficzne europejskich krajów postradzieckich

Abstract

The article presents forecast changes ofth e number structure o f the population ofthe European post-soviet countries till 2050. The forecasting was based on a projection prepared by the Population Division of UN in 1996. Practically in all the post-soviet countries, except Moldavia, there will be population decrease. The pace of the decrease will be different and it will depend on the real fertility level mostly. Population of the whole region will be getting older within the coming 50 years. At the same time the indexes of demographic bias (population at non-working age related to the population at working age) will get worse. As a result one can expect a lack of demographic impulses to get over a difficult economic situation in the region.