Математическое экспериментирование в процессе принятия решений во внекней торговле

Abstract

Application of mathematical experiment and computer simulation methods in the decision-making process in foreign trade, both on macro- end micro-economic scale, finds it methodological and substantive justification. The computer simulation, owing to which it is possible to carry out major experiments as regards their size and degree of sophistication, consists in following over time changes occurring in th e dynamic system model. This method has been used in solving the problem of Poland’s indebtedness. The presented model of multi-target optimization is a conprehensive planning method based on application of simulation and situational variants,which gives an answer to the question how the socio-economic policy should be formulated to avoid a drop in living standars and, simultaneously, decrease in debtedness successively.